DFB-Pokal | Second Round

Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK

Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
2 - 1
Schalke

Hartel (57' pen.), Eggestein (102')
Amenyido (87'), Irvine (101'), Hartel (113'), Hurzeler (114'), Saliakas (120+2')

FT
(aet)

Kaminski (16')
Schallenberg (45+3'), Matriciani (101'), Kabadayi (111')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between St Pauli and Schalke 04.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: St Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Schalke 04

All competitions

DFB-Pokal

Last Game: Schalke 3-2 Hannover
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.

Result
St Pauli	Draw	Schalke 04
59.26% ( -0.12)	21.22% ( 0.05)	19.51% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.42% (

-0.12)

40.58% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.04% (

-0.13)

62.96% (

0.13)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.63% (

-0.07)

13.37% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.73% (

-0.15)

40.27% (

0.16)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.57% (

34.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.86% (

71.14% (

Score Analysis

St Pauli 59.26%

Schalke 04 19.51%

Draw 21.22%

St Pauli	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.38% Total : 59.26%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.22%	1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.51%