DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli2 - 1Schalke
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal Second Round clash between St Pauli and Schalke 04.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Pauli 2-1 Karlsruher
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Schalke 3-2 Hannover
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, October 28 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
59.26% ( -0.12) | 21.22% ( 0.05) | 19.51% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.8% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.42% ( -0.12) | 40.58% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.04% ( -0.13) | 62.96% ( 0.13) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.63% ( -0.07) | 13.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.73% ( -0.15) | 40.27% ( 0.16) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.57% ( 0) | 34.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.86% ( 0) | 71.14% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
St Pauli 59.26%
Schalke 04 19.51%
Draw 21.22%
| St Pauli | Draw | Schalke 04 |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.32% 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 59.26% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.3% 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.22% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.88% 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 19.51% |
How you voted: St Pauli vs Schalke
St Pauli
82.8%Draw
10.3%Schalke 04
6.9%29
Form Guide
