Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Dresden would win this match.