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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Venezuela national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental de Maturin
Peru national football team

Venezuela
1 - 0
Peru

Rondon (41' pen.)
Gonzalez (45'), Martinez (47'), Herrera (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zambrano (13'), Aquino (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Venezuela and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezuela

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Venezuela
Friday, March 21 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

Peru

All competitions
Last Game: Peru 3-1 Bolivia
Friday, March 21 at 1.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings P GD PTS
1Argentina131528
2Ecuador13825
3Brazil13721
4Uruguay13720
5Paraguay13220
6Colombia13419
7Bolivia13-1613
8Venezuela13-512
9Peru13-1010
10Chile13-129

We said: Venezuela 1-2 Peru

 Venezuela and Peru are second and third, respectively, regarding goals allowed in CONMEBOL qualifying, so we expect each side to find the mark on Tuesday, but we believe the momentum of Los Incas will propel them to another triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezuela win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Peru had a probability of 14.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezuela win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.68%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.19%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Venezuela in this match.

Result
VenezuelaDrawPeru
60.11% (-1.729 -1.73) 25.15% (0.973 0.97) 14.74% (0.76 0.76)
Both teams to score 36.8% (-0.649 -0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.45% (-1.865 -1.87)62.55% (1.87 1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.86% (-1.381 -1.38)82.14% (1.388 1.39)
Venezuela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-1.412 -1.41)20.94% (1.418 1.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-2.261 -2.26)53.69% (2.267 2.27)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.55% (0.014000000000003 0.01)53.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.07% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)86.93% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Venezuela 60.11%
    Peru 14.74%
    Draw 25.15%
VenezuelaDrawPeru
1-0 @ 17.5% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 13.68% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 8.57% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-0 @ 7.13% (-0.453 -0.45)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.282 -0.28)
4-0 @ 2.79% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 60.11%
0-0 @ 11.19% (0.76 0.76)
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 2.68% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.475 0.48)
1-2 @ 3.43% (0.091 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.2% (0.149 0.15)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 14.74%

How you voted: Venezuela vs Peru

Venezuela
43.8%
Draw
10.1%
Peru
46.1%
89
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2023 2am
Group Stage
Peru
1-1
Venezuela
Yotun (17')
Lopez (27'), Yotun (53')
Savarino (54')
Machis (24'), Osorio (44'), Castillo (85')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2021 9pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
1-2
Peru
Machis (52')
Gonzalez (30'), Hernandez (64')
Lapadula (18'), Cueva (65')
Advincula (42'), Yotun (61'), Trauco (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 6, 2021 2am
Group Stage
Peru
1-0
Venezuela
Cueva (35')
> Preview
Jun 27, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
0-1
Peru

Hernandez (21')
Carrillo (48')
> Preview
Jun 15, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Venezuela
0-0
Peru
Mago (6'), Herrera (82')
Mago (75')
Tapia (26'), Carrillo (93')
rhs 2.0
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