World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 1-0 Ecuador Saturday, September 7 at 2am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Peru 1-1 Colombia Saturday, September 7 at 2.30am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Ecuador 2-1 Peru
Ecuador usually prove to be a tough team to beat in home qualifiers, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim all three points in their meeting with a Peru team that has lost two of their three away matches in the current qualifying cycle.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.09% . A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Peru had a probability of 13.95% .
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.62% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 2-1 (9.11%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%) , while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (6.03%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ecuador in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ecuador.
Result Ecuador Draw Peru 63.09% ( 0.08) 22.96% ( -0.12) 13.95% ( 0.04)
Both teams to score 40.27% ( 0.37)
43.25% ( 0.46) 56.74% ( -0.46)
22.31% ( 0.37) 77.69% ( -0.36)
82.41% ( 0.19) 17.59% ( -0.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.84% ( 0.34) 48.16% ( -0.33)
48.87% ( 0.34) 51.13% ( -0.33)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 14.57% ( 0.22) 85.43% ( -0.22)
Ecuador 63.08%
Peru 13.95%
Draw 22.96%
Ecuador Draw Peru 1-0 @ 15.62% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 13.58% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 63.08% 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.96% 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 13.95%
How you voted: Ecuador vs Peru
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