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Luxembourg national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 30, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Josy Barthel
Portugal national football team

Luxembourg
1 - 3
Portugal

Rodrigues (30')
Chanot (20')
Chanot (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jota (45+2'), Ronaldo (51'), Palhinha (80')
Jota (39'), Dias (70'), Sanches (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up for their World Cup Qualifying clash with Luxembourg on Tuesday evening.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 68.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 9.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.49%) and 0-3 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.03%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
LuxembourgDrawPortugal
9.6%22.14%68.26%
Both teams to score 31.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84%62.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15%81.85%
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.81%62.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.27%91.73%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26%17.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58%48.42%
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 9.6%
    Portugal 68.25%
    Draw 22.14%
LuxembourgDrawPortugal
1-0 @ 5.24%
2-1 @ 2.15%
2-0 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 9.6%
0-0 @ 11.03%
1-1 @ 9.06%
2-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.14%
0-1 @ 19.07%
0-2 @ 16.49%
0-3 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 4.52%
0-4 @ 4.11%
1-4 @ 1.95%
0-5 @ 1.42%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 68.25%

Head to Head
Nov 17, 2019 2pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
0-2
Portugal

Deville (7'), Chanot (16')
Fernandes (39'), Ronaldo (86')
Silva (71')
Oct 11, 2019 7.45pm
Oct 15, 2013 6pm
Qualifiers
Portugal
3-0
Luxembourg
Varela (30'), Nani (37'), Postiga (78')
Josue (50'), Coentrao (64')

Philipps (42'), Gerson (70'), Da Mota Alves (81')
Joachim (28')
Sep 7, 2012 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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