Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.41%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.
