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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 14, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
3 - 2
Barry

Lloyd (35' pen., 44' pen.), Jones (82')
Clarke (49'), Lloyd (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
George (25'), Margetson (51')
Kavanagh (14'), Snaith (33'), Rees (42'), Sainty (43')
Yorwerth (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-1 Caernarfon
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Barry 2-1 Cardiff MU
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Barry Town United had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Barry Town United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caernarfon Town would win this match.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
44.18% (0.147 0.15) 23.96% (0.148 0.15) 31.85% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 60.2% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.838 -0.84)41.95% (0.831 0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.848 -0.85)64.35% (0.84 0.84)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)19.22% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.459 -0.46)50.91% (0.452 0.45)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.52% (-0.59 -0.59)25.48% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.68% (-0.809 -0.81)60.32% (0.80099999999999 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 44.18%
    Barry Town United 31.85%
    Draw 23.96%
Caernarfon TownDrawBarry Town United
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.08% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 6.66% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 44.18%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.58% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.85%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
Snaith (10')
George (79')
Lloyd (9')
Nov 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 16
Caernarfon
2-3
Barry
Lloyd (12'), Davies (32')
Mooney (33'), Gosset (44'), Maher (79')
Mooney (38')
Bright (26'), Cotterill (56'), Hulbert (90+6')
Cotterill (44'), Blythe (63'), Sainty (69'), McLaggon (90+6')
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Barry
0-3
Caernarfon

Press (76'), Cotterill (90+4'), Cotterill (90+4')
Clarke (27'), Richard Williams (41'), Davies (71')
Apr 9, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 7
Barry
1-1
Caernarfon
McLaggon (45+1' pen.)
Hood (17'), Kavanagh (61')
Harrison (62')
Eardley (31'), Morris (43'), (45+2'), Owens (65')
Horan (45')
Feb 26, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 22
Barry
1-2
Caernarfon
Cotterill (36')
Green (69')
Hayes (4', 58')
Gosset (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1The New SaintsNew Saints21160559263348
2Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont21145240152547
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest21116428101839
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU219573227532
5Bala TownBala Town2061132619729
6Barry Town UnitedBarry218583137-629
7Caernarfon TownCaernarfon208483035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay217593224826
9Flint Town UnitedFlint Town2162132744-1720
10Newtown AFCNewtown2154122344-2119
11Briton Ferry2153132744-1718
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2142151747-3014
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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