Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Dec 13, 2020 at 3pm UK
Stadion Yuro Gagarin
Desna2 - 0Mariupol
Kartushov (50'), Khlyobas (56')
Dombrovskyi (77'), Kartushov (90+3')
Dombrovskyi (77'), Kartushov (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chobotenko (76'), Bondarenko (79'), Chekh (84')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Mariupol.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Desna Chernihiv win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Mariupol had a probability of 24.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Mariupol win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Desna Chernihiv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Desna Chernihiv | Draw | Mariupol |
| 51.26% | 24.39% | 24.35% |
| Both teams to score 53.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
