Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia Under-20s win with a probability of 51.16%. A win for Honduras Under-20s had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Honduras Under-20s win was 0-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gambia Under-20s would win this match.