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Switzerland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kybunpark
Lithuania national football team

Switzerland
1 - 0
Lithuania

Shaqiri (2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cernych (42')

Preview: Switzerland vs. Lithuania - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Switzerland and Lithuania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Switzerland will be looking to make it back-to-back wins at the start of their 2022 World Cup qualification when they host Lithuania on Sunday night.

Vladimir Petkovic's side opened their Group C challenge with a 3-1 victory away to Bulgaria on Thursday, while Lithuania suffered a 4-0 defeat to Kosovo in a friendly on Wednesday.


Match preview

Switzerland coach Vladimir Petkovic pictured on March 25, 2021© Reuters

Switzerland made the perfect start to their Group C campaign on Thursday, recording a 3-1 win over Bulgaria in Sofia to rise to the top of the section, level on points with Italy.

Petkovic's team did the damage in six first-half minutes, with Breel Embolo, Haris Seferovic and Steven Zuber all finding the back of the net in quick succession to take the match away from the home side.

Switzerland will now be looking to move onto six points in the section before finishing this international break with a friendly at home to Finland on March 31.

The A-Team will be present at this summer's European Championships, while they have competed in each of the last three World Cups, reaching the round of 16 in both 2014 and 2018.

A squad full of talent could be a force in the upcoming tournaments, and they have a perfect record against Lithuania, winning the two previous meetings between the two nations in 2014 and 2015.

Lithuania head coach Valdas Urbonas pictured on November 15, 2020© Reuters

Lithuania, as mentioned, will enter this match off the back of a 4-0 loss to Kosovo on Wednesday, with the visitors conceding three times in the second half during a difficult 90 minutes.

The fixture was only a friendly, though, as there are only five teams in this World Cup qualification group, meaning that Valdas Urbonas's side will have the chance to make the perfect start on Sunday.

Lithuania have never qualified for the finals of a major tournament, while they recorded just one win during qualification for the 2018 edition, which is an indication of the size of their task in this group.

Rinktine have been victorious in two of their last four matches, though, winning their last competitive game away to Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League back in November, and the visitors will have nothing to lose when they head into Sunday's clash in St. Gallen.

Switzerland World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • W

Switzerland form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Lithuania form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L


Team News

Switzerland's Breel Embolo celebrates scoring their first goal on March 25, 2021© Reuters

The fact that Switzerland finish the month with a friendly against Finland rather than another competitive fixture means that Petkovic is unlikely to make wholesale changes for this match.

The head coach could decide to freshen his team, with Silvan Widmer, Djibril Sow and Denis Zakaria potentially coming into the starting XI.

There are unlikely to be any changes in the final third of the field, though, with Seferovic and Embolo again expected to be joined by Liverpool attacker Xherdan Shaqiri.

As for Lithuania, there will be a number of changes from the side that suffered a 4-0 defeat to Kosovo in a friendly on Wednesday evening.

The XI could have a similar look to the one that took to the field against Kazakhstan in their last competitive match, with Fedor Cernych wearing the captain's armband from an advanced position.

Cernych has scored nine times in 60 appearances for his national team and is expected to be joined by Karolis Laukzemis, Gratas Sirgedas and Arvydas Novikovas in the forward positions.

Switzerland possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Elvedi, Akanji, Widmer; Mbabu, Sow, Xhaka, Zakaria; Embolo, Shaqiri, Seferovic

Lithuania possible starting lineup:
Svedkauskas; Mikoliunas, Beneta, Dapkus, Vaitkunas; Simkus, Slivka; Sirgedas, Cernych, Novikovas; Laukzemis


SM words green background

We say: Switzerland 3-0 Lithuania

Lithuania are going to find it very difficult to make an impression in Group C, and they face a very tough assignment away to a talented Switzerland on Sunday. The home side will be in a confident mood following their win in Bulgaria, and we are expecting them to put another three points on the board here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Lithuania win it was 0-1 (6.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Switzerland in this match.


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A general view of Konstantin Palace gardens ahead of the preliminary draw of the 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia on July 24, 2015
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