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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 34
Apr 29, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Cadiz logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Cadiz

En-Nesyri (7')
Papu (61'), Navas (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (66')
Jonsson (17'), Espino (90')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Cadiz - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot in La Liga when they welcome relegation-threatened Cadiz to Estadio Ramon on Friday night.

The home side are currently third in the table, six points ahead of fifth-placed Real Betis, while Cadiz occupy 17th position, just one point ahead of 18th-placed Granada.


Match preview

Sevilla's Lucas Ocampos celebrates scoring their second goal on February 17, 2022© Reuters

Sevilla have lost to Barcelona and Real Madrid in two of their last four La Liga matches but victories over Granada and Levante have kept them firmly inside the top four, with Julen Lopetegui's side currently third in the table, six points clear of fifth-placed Real Betis with five matches left.

Los Nervionenses are also level on points with second-placed Barcelona (63), so they are in a strong position to challenge for the runners-up spot, which would go down as a very successful campaign.

Lopetegui's side, who shaded a five-goal thriller against Levante last time out, disappointingly lost to West Ham United in the Europa League, but they have not finished higher than fourth in La Liga since 2009 and are therefore on course for an excellent season in Spain's top flight.

Sevilla will face Villarreal (A), Mallorca (H), Atletico Madrid (A) and Athletic Bilbao (H) in their final four league matches of the campaign, and they could finish the season with the strongest home record in La Liga, having collected 37 points from their 16 league games at Estadio Ramon.

Rojiblancos recorded a 1-0 victory over Cadiz in the reverse league match earlier this season, while they ran out 3-0 winners in the corresponding fixture at Estadio Ramon last term.

Cadiz coach Alvaro Cervera during the match on April 18, 2022© Reuters

Cadiz, meanwhile, will enter the match off the back of a 3-2 defeat to Athletic Bilbao on April 21, with the Yellow Submarine unable to recover from a three-goal first-half deficit despite launching a late comeback.

Sergio Gonzalez's side are very much in the relegation mix at this stage of the campaign, currently sitting 17th in the table, just one point ahead of 18th-placed Granada on the same number of games (33).

Cadiz will take on Elche (H), Real Sociedad (A), Real Madrid (H) and Alaves (A) in their final four league matches of the campaign, and the clashes with Elche and Alaves are likely to be vital, as they might not get too much change out of Sevilla, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid.

Los Piratas were excellent on their return to Spain's top flight last season, finishing 12th in the table, and they are bidding to make it back-to-back campaigns at this level of football for the first time since 1993.

Cadiz have the worst home record in La Liga this season, but they have actually been relatively impressive on their travels, picking up 17 points from 16 matches, so the fact that this match is away from Nuevo Mirandilla could be a positive for the Andalusian outfit on Friday night.

Sevilla La Liga form:
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Sevilla form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Cadiz La Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Sevilla's Ivan Rakitic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Sevilla will be missing Anthony Martial, Karim Rekik, Fernando and Suso through injury on Friday night, but Jesus Navas and Joan Jordan should be fit despite taking knocks against Levante.

Head coach Lopetegui has plenty of options for change despite the club's injury issues, and there could be a spot in central midfield for Thomas Delaney, while Oliver Torres and Rafa Mir are also pushing for starts.

Erik Lamela was not involved against Levante last time out but could now come into the starting side, while Jesus Manuel Corona is also set to start fresh from his two goals in Valencia.

As for Cadiz, Varazdat Haroyan, Isaac Carcelen and Florin Andone were missing against Athletic last time out, and the trio will again be absent on Friday night.

The visitors did not suffer any fresh issues in their loss to Athletic, but head coach Sergio is likely to make an alteration at the back, with Fali Jimenez set to return in the middle.

Lucas Perez's goal off the bench against the Basque club could earn the forward a start alongside Alvaro Negredo, meanwhile, with Anthony Lozano potentially dropping out of the side.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bounou; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Delaney, Jordan; Ocampos, Lamela, Corona; Rafa Mir

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Akapo, Fali, Hernandez, Espino; Alejo, Fede, Alcaraz, Idrissi; Perez, Negredo


SM words green background

We say: Sevilla 3-1 Cadiz

Cadiz are in desperate need of the points as they bid to remain in the league, but Sevilla also need to win to boost their top-four hopes, and we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than a victory for Lopetegui's side, who have been excellent at home this season.


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 66.23%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 13.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sevilla vs Cadiz

Sevilla
86.7%
Draw
9.5%
Cadiz
3.8%
210
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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