Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.15%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
13.63% | 17.72% | 68.65% |
Both teams to score 56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.68% | 35.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.65% | 57.34% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.77% | 38.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% | 74.99% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.65% | 9.35% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.49% | 31.5% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 3.92% 1-0 @ 3.44% 2-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.49% 3-1 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.88% Total : 13.63% | 1-1 @ 8.15% 2-2 @ 4.64% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.18% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-1 @ 8.47% 0-3 @ 7.93% 1-3 @ 7.63% 0-4 @ 4.7% 1-4 @ 4.52% 2-3 @ 3.67% 0-5 @ 2.23% 2-4 @ 2.17% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 4.48% Total : 68.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |