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Serie A
Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
May 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Sassuolo logo

Lazio
2 - 0
Sassuolo

Anderson (14'), Basic (90+2')
Alberto (40'), Marusic (62'), Lazzari (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lauriente (27'), Dionisi (34'), Berardi (41'), Ruan (51'), Zortea (60'), Toljan (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Lazio
Sunday, April 30 at 11.30am in Serie A

Sassuolo

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Empoli
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Sassuolo

 Lazio have won six of their last 10 home league meetings with Sassuolo and they will be the favourites to come out on top on Wednesday despite their recent blip in form. While an upset cannot be ruled out at the Stadio Olimpico, the visitors have lacked consistency in recent weeks and we believe that the hosts will edge a closely-fought contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
LazioDrawSassuolo
54.11% (0.165 0.16) 23.42% (0.319 0.32) 22.47% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 53.95% (-1.664 -1.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.49% (-1.911 -1.91)46.51% (1.914 1.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.22% (-1.82 -1.82)68.79% (1.824 1.82)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.9% (-0.63300000000001 -0.63)17.1% (0.636 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.71% (-1.129 -1.13)47.3% (1.132 1.13)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.08% (-1.496 -1.5)34.92% (1.499 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.34% (-1.607 -1.61)71.66% (1.612 1.61)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 54.11%
    Sassuolo 22.47%
    Draw 23.41%
LazioDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.613 0.61)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.31% (0.359 0.36)
3-1 @ 5.77% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.115 -0.12)
4-0 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 54.11%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.97% (0.469 0.47)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.251 0.25)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.3%
1-3 @ 2.05% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: Lazio vs Sassuolo

Lazio
83.1%
Draw
11.3%
Sassuolo
5.6%
71
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 11.30am
gameweek 18
Sassuolo
0-2
Lazio

Toljan (45+2'), Ruan (45+2'), Rogerio (64'), Erlic (83'), Lopez (88')
Zaccagni (45+3' pen.), Anderson (90+4')
Casale (18'), Cataldi (45+2'), Hysaj (65')
Apr 2, 2022 5pm
gameweek 31
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Lazzari (17'), Milinkovic-Savic (51')
Anderson (7')
Traore (90+4')
Kiriakopoulos (5'), Frattesi (32'), Harroui (84')
Dec 12, 2021 5pm
gameweek 17
Sassuolo
2-1
Lazio
Berardi (63'), Raspadori (69')
Berardi (77')
Ayhan (88')
Zaccagni (6')
Marusic (40'), Anderson (73')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Sassuolo
2-0
Lazio
Kiriakopoulos (10'), Berardi (78' pen.)
Kiriakopoulos (50'), De Zerbi (90')
Kiriakopoulos (61')

Parolo (90+3')
> Preview
Jan 24, 2021 5pm
gameweek 19
Lazio
2-1
Sassuolo
Milinkovic-Savic (25'), Immobile (71')
Patric (59'), Leiva (75')
Caputo (6')
Santos (65'), Obiang (68'), Ferrari (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113
> Serie A Full Table


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