Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
33.33% ( 1.33) | 25.3% ( 0.05) | 41.37% ( -1.38) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.46% ( 0.18) | 47.53% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.26% ( 0.17) | 69.74% ( -0.17) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( 0.93) | 27.27% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.29% ( 1.2) | 62.7% ( -1.2) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.14% ( -0.59) | 22.85% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.41% ( -0.87) | 56.59% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.33% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.18% Total : 41.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |