Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
49.46% ( 0.55) | 23.81% ( -0.19) | 26.72% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 57.28% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.73% ( 0.56) | 44.27% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( 0.54) | 66.65% ( -0.54) |
Queen of the South Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82% ( 0.43) | 18% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.14% ( 0.73) | 48.86% ( -0.73) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.85% ( 0.02) | 30.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.71% ( 0.02) | 66.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Queen of the South | Draw | Montrose |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.46% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.1% Total : 26.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |