Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Montrose had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Montrose win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
21.33% ( -2.83) | 24.97% ( -0.53) | 53.69% ( 3.36) |
Both teams to score 47.76% ( -1.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% ( -0.64) | 53.97% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.54) | 75.42% ( 0.54) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.76% ( -3.09) | 40.24% ( 3.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.13% ( -2.93) | 76.87% ( 2.93) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( 1.13) | 20.08% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% ( 1.79) | 52.31% ( -1.79) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
1-0 @ 7.36% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.62) 2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.35) 3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.33% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.33) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.76) 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.94) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 5.57% ( 0.68) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.34) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 32 |
3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 32 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 31 |
5 | Kelty Hearts | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 31 |
6 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 29 |
7 | Montrose | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 25 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 21 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 19 |
10 | Dumbarton | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |