Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 63.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montrose would win this match.
Result | ||
Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
63.59% ( 0.38) | 20.39% ( -0.36) | 16.01% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.55% ( 1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.22% ( 1.56) | 42.78% ( -1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.82% ( 1.53) | 65.18% ( -1.54) |
Montrose Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.21% ( 0.59) | 12.79% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.91% ( 1.21) | 39.09% ( -1.21) |
Peterhead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.26% ( 0.92) | 39.73% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.59% ( 0.84) | 76.4% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Montrose | Draw | Peterhead |
2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.11) 5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.28% Total : 63.59% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.93% Total : 16.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 34 |
2 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 29 |
4 | Cove Rangers | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 22 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 19 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 7 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |