MX23RW : Saturday, September 7 23:50:37| >> :600:489523:489523:
Elgin City
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Borough Briggs
Hibs logo

Elgin
0 - 5
Hibernian


Dingwall (45+1'), Sargent (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Vente (8', 44', 58'), Ekpiteta (51'), Boyle (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Elgin City and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elgin 0-3 Clyde
Saturday, May 4 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Last Game: Livingston 1-1 Hibernian
Sunday, May 19 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Elgin City 0-3 Hibernian

Although new boss Gray is yet to take charge of a competitive game for Hibs, his status as a former player could provide the club with a much-needed boost. Additionally, it is difficult to envisage Elgin achieving victory considering their status as a club in Scotland's fourth division, and this makes the visitors strong favourites heading into Saturday's clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
Elgin CityDrawHibernian
14.46% (0.041 0.04) 17.95% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 67.59% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.53% (0.013999999999996 0.01)34.47% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.6% (0.017999999999994 0.02)56.39% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46% (0.061 0.06)36.54% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.67% (0.064999999999998 0.06)73.32% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.63% (-0.012 -0.01)9.37% (0.0101 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)31.56% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Elgin City 14.46%
    Hibernian 67.59%
    Draw 17.95%
Elgin CityDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 4.11% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 1.74% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.006 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.38% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 14.46%
1-1 @ 8.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.95%
1-2 @ 9.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 7.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 4.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-5 @ 2.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 67.59%

How you voted: Elgin vs Hibernian

Elgin City
5.9%
Draw
11.8%
Hibernian
82.4%
17
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Elgin
0-2
Hibernian

Hester (30'), Bronsky (89')
Newell (10'), Kamberi (62')
Mallan (42'), Vela (69')
rhs 2.0
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