Dunfermline

5 - 1

Dumbarton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.