Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
33.73% ( -0.52) | 27.18% ( -0.02) | 39.09% ( 0.54) |
Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.71% ( 0.02) | 55.29% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.49% ( 0.01) | 76.51% ( -0.01) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.16% ( -0.33) | 30.84% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.88% ( -0.39) | 67.11% ( 0.39) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% ( 0.31) | 27.57% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% ( 0.4) | 63.1% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |