Brazilian giants Santos welcome Bolivian outfit The Strongest to Sao Paulo on Tuesday in Copa Libertadores action, as both sides look to record their first points of the group stage.
The two teams come into this game having both lost their opening two games to Boca Juniors and Barcelona SC, while neither have registered a goal in this season's group stage yet.
Match preview
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Santos suffered a 2-0 defeat last time out in the group stage, as they travelled to take on Argentinian giants Boca Juniors.
Carlos Tevez opened the scoring early in the second half for the hosts, before Sebastian Villa added a second with 20 minutes to go to put the game out of sight.
That was a second consecutive 2-0 loss in the group stage for Ariel Holan's men, having previously fallen at home to Ecuadorian outfit Barcelona SC in the opening game.
The game was again goalless until half time, but Carlos Garces quickly opened the scoring in the second half for the visitors and a Para own goal after 70 minutes all but sealed his side's fate.
Holan's men will be desperate not to throw this opportunity away though, having gone through two rounds of qualifying to reach the group stage, firstly defeating Venezuelan outfit Deportivo Lara 3-2 on aggregate.
They then took on Argentinian side San Lorenzo, and took a 3-1 lead in the away leg through Lucas Braga, Marinho and Angelo Gabriel, before they saw out a 1-1 draw in the home leg to advance to the continental competition.
While their opponents did achieve automatic qualification, they will also be desperate for a win to put their first points of the Copa Libertadores campaign on the board after a poor start.
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The Strongest kicked off the group stage with a narrow 1-0 defeat to Boca Juniors, as Sebastian Villa's goal in the seventh minute would go on to make the difference.
While that was by no means a devastating result for Alberto Illanes's side, their following away game against Barcelona SC did provide much more cause for concern.
The hosts dominated the game throughout, but it took 49 minutes for them to take the lead through Carlos Garces.
After that, the Ecuadorian side raced into a major lead, as Mario Pineida and Emmanuel Martinez found the net before Gabriel Valverde scored a late own goal to see the game finish 4-0.
The Strongest will now look to bounce back from those two defeats to keep their hopes of qualification firmly alive, as they hope to progress to the final 16 against the odds.
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Team News
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Santos will remain without midfielders Sandry and Jobson, while Vinicius Balieiro earned his spot back in the starting XI for the last Copa Libertadores game.
The majority of their attacking threat could be offered by wingers Marinho and Lucas Braga, who found the net in Santos's recent 1-1 draw with Red Bull Bragantino in league action.
They have somewhat struggled for a prolific frontman though, with that goal being the only one that Holan's men have scored in the last five games in all competitions.
Illanes could look to make several changes to his side after their 4-0 defeat last time out in the Copa Libertadores.
That could see the likes of Raul Castro, Rudy Cardozo and forward Rolando Blackburn all come into the starting side.
Gabriel Valverde could still be trusted at the back, despite conceding four goals and scoring an own goal in their recent 4-0 defeat.
Santos possible starting lineup:
Paulo; Para, Fernandes, Peres, Jonatan; Balieiro, Alison, Pirani; Marinho, Gabriel, Braga
The Strongest possible starting lineup:
Vaca; Torres, Castillo, Valverde, Sagredo; Castro, Cardozo, Wayar; Chavez, Blackburn, Willie
We say: Santos 1-1 The Strongest
With both sides desperate to record their first victory of the group stage, we see them cancelling each other out on Tuesday.
Both teams have struggled for goals, but have also shown themselves to be leaky in defence, setting the encounter up for a low-scoring draw.
Top tip
Sam Varley
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 52.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for The Strongest had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a The Strongest win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
