Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 15.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.88%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
