Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Borough Briggs
Elgin3 - 1Stenhousemuir
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Elgin City and Stenhousemuir.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Elgin 2-2 Stranraer
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Albion Rovers | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 1-3 Dumbarton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Elgin City | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Annan Athletic | 4 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | Stenhousemuir | 4 | -5 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Stenhousemuir |
40.22% ( 0.61) | 25.06% ( -0.16) | 34.71% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
