Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 12, 2024 at 2pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr2 - 1Peterhead
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Ayr United and Peterhead.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Falkirk 2-0 Ayr
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
16
Last Game: Peterhead 0-1 Elgin
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League Two
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Peterhead |
57.47% ( -1.07) | 22.61% ( 0.43) | 19.92% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
