Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Estoril Praia |
34.26% ( -1.14) | 25.02% ( -0.26) | 40.72% ( 1.4) |
Both teams to score 57.31% ( 0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.92% ( 0.99) | 46.08% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.62% ( 0.93) | 68.38% ( -0.93) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -0.2) | 26.01% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -0.26) | 61.04% ( 0.26) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.46% ( 1.14) | 22.54% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.88% ( 1.67) | 56.12% ( -1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Estoril Praia |
2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.34% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.02% | 1-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 47 |
2 | Benfica | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 43 | 14 | 29 | 41 |
3 | Porto | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
4 | Braga | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 32 |
6 | Casa Pia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 24 |
9 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 23 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
12 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
13 | Nacional | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 19 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 19 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 17 |
16 | AVS | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |