Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 51.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
