MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 21:19:50| >> :120:39214:39214:
[monks data]
Nottingham Forest logo
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
City Ground
Derby logo

Nott'm Forest
2 - 1
Derby

Grabban (48'), Johnson (82')
Grabban (35'), Samba (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lawrence (88' pen.)
Thompson (31'), Stearman (51'), Buchanan (56'), Lawrence (89'), Byrne (90+6')
Morrison (90+6')

Preview: Nottingham Forest vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Nottingham Forest head into their East Midlands showdown with Derby County looking for the victory which could get them back into the hunt for the Championship playoffs.

Despite their ongoing off-the-pitch troubles, Derby have put together a five-match unbeaten streak in the Championship, moving the club to within eight points of safety.


Match preview

Nottingham Forest manager Steve Cooper celebrates after the match on September 29, 2021© Reuters

At the end of 2021, Forest looked like they had lost their way after suffering back-to-back defeats to Middlesbrough and Huddersfield Town respectively.

However, the addition of a couple of fresh faces has seemingly improved the mood at the City Ground, Forest following a win over Arsenal in the FA Cup with a last-gasp victory at Millwall last weekend.

Lewis Grabban was again the hero, the veteran forward scoring his 11th Championship goal of the campaign to keep Forest within five points of the playoffs.

Head coach Steve Cooper knows that he needs more out of his frontline with Forest netting just four times in five games, but he will feel that the wins will come providing that the backline continue to do their job at the other end.

Forest end January with three matches against teams occupying spots in the bottom five, although they would be naive to dismiss neighbours Derby based on their league position.

 Derby County manager Wayne Rooney after the match, December 30, 2021© Reuters

With local pride also at stake, that has no chance of happening, but Derby have shown that, on current form, they are more than a match for anyone in the second tier.

Wayne Rooney's side have accumulated 13 points from their most recent five fixtures, a return only matched by playoff-chasing Middlesbrough.

Despite the continuing distraction of off-the-pitch matters, Derby were able to beat Sheffield United by a 2-0 scoreline in their last outing, Tom Lawrence netting both of the goals.

The Rams currently find themselves in a position where they are unable to sign new players, a possible hindrance over the coming two weeks when offers will naturally be made for their current crop.

Nevertheless, Rooney needs to keep things ticking over on the pitch and hope that a takeover can be completed in time to make several additions before the end of the month.

Nottingham Forest Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Nottingham Forest form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W

Derby County Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Derby County form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W



Team News

Nottingham Forest's Philip Zinckernagel celebrates scoring against Barnsley in the Championship on September 29, 2021© Reuters

Barring any unforeseen injury issues, Cooper will likely stick with the Forest XI which started against Millwall.

Philip Zinckernagel is an alternative in the final third, but Cooper will likely persist with the trio of Grabban, Brennan Johnson and Keinan Davis.

With Derby defender Craig Forsyth available again, he could return at left-back, allowing Festy Ebosele to be used further forward.

Colin Kazim-Richards made an impression as a substitute against the Blades and could take the spot of Luke Plange.

The likes of Ravel Morrison and Louie Sibley may have to make do with a place on the substitutes' bench.

Nottingham Forest possible starting lineup:
Samba; Worrall, Cook, McKenna; Spence, Yates, Garner, Colback; Grabban; Johnson, Davis

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Allsop; Byrne, Stearman, Davies, Forsyth; Knight, Bird, Thompson; Ebosele, Kazim-Richards, Lawrence


SM words green background

We say: Nottingham Forest 2-1 Derby County

Despite the difference in league positions, this should be regarded as 50-50 contest, and Derby will relish the chance to get one over their hosts. Nevertheless, we feel that Forest might just edge this contest, potentially by the odd goal in three.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:475790:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9276:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Derby

Nottingham Forest
63.9%
Draw
5.6%
Derby County
30.6%
36
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
West Bromwich Albion's Callum Robinson celebrates scoring their first goal with Matt Phillips and Karlan Grant  on January 8, 2022
Read Next:
Saturday's Championship predictions including QPR vs. West Brom
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!