Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 21.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
