Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Glenavon in this match.
