Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 71.14%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 10.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.9%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
