Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 77.3%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 7.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.88%) and 3-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cliftonville in this match.
