Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 15.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
