Slovenia

1 - 0

Moldova

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Slovenia in this match.