We said: Montenegro 1-2 Bosnia-Herzegovina
Having achieved better results away from home than back in Bosnia over the past 12 months, the visitors will expect to take at least a point from their trip across the border.
With greater depth of experience at top-level European clubs, they should have the edge over Montenegro this weekend, and could even take top spot in Group 3 depending on how Finland fare in Romania.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.