Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.