Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bromley win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bromley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bromley would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Bromley |
17.84% ( 0.12) | 21.58% ( 0.13) | 60.58% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( -0.36) | 44.82% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.82% ( -0.34) | 67.18% ( 0.35) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.26% ( -0.07) | 38.74% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.52% ( -0.07) | 75.48% ( 0.07) |
Bromley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.66% ( -0.19) | 14.34% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.81% ( -0.38) | 42.2% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Bromley |
1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.84% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 60.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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