Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 85.64%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 4.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 4-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.57%), while for a Oxford City win it was 1-2 (1.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Oxford City |
85.64% ( 0.04) | 9.74% ( -0.01) | 4.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 45.75% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.17% ( -0.13) | 26.83% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.73% ( -0.17) | 47.27% ( 0.17) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.73% ( -0.02) | 4.27% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.27% ( -0.05) | 17.73% ( 0.05) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.79% ( -0.23) | 52.21% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.86% ( -0.15) | 86.14% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Oxford City |
3-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.08% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.37% 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.35% Total : 85.63% | 1-1 @ 4.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.61% Total : 9.74% | 1-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 4.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 48 |
2 | Barnet | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 48 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 46 |
4 | Gateshead | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 44 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 43 |
6 | Rochdale | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 36 |
7 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 35 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 35 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 33 |
12 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 32 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 32 |
14 | Tamworth | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
17 | Woking | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
18 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 23 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 23 |
20 | Fylde | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 47 | -19 | 22 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 45 | -18 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 54 | -37 | 9 |
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