Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.