Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Halifax Town had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Halifax Town win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
35.87% ( -0.89) | 24.52% ( -0.04) | 39.61% ( 0.92) |
Both teams to score 59.42% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.53% ( 0.09) | 43.47% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.13% ( 0.09) | 65.87% ( -0.09) |
Halifax Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( -0.44) | 23.88% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( -0.63) | 58.08% ( 0.63) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% ( 0.49) | 21.94% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% ( 0.75) | 55.22% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Halifax Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.06% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.48% Total : 39.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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