Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.