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Aldershot Town
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Eastleigh
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Hartlepool United
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Dagenham & Redbridge
National League | Gameweek 28
Feb 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Chigwell Construction Stadium
Chesterfield

Dag & Red
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Hill (54')
Appiah-Forson (64'), Hessenthaler (82'), Eastman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Berry (31'), Dobra (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

Chesterfield

All competitions
National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 1-3 Chesterfield
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League

We said: Dagenham & Redbridge 1-3 Chesterfield

 On the back of defeating Rochdale at the weekend, Dagenham & Redbridge will be confident of causing a surprise against the leaders. However, we cannot back against Chesterfield in any fixture at this level, leading us to predict a hard-earned win with several goals being scored in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
31.23% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.17% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 44.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.336 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.85% (0.436 0.44)43.15% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.45% (0.43 0.43)65.55% (-0.42999999999999 -0.43)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (0.227 0.23)26.45% (-0.228 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (0.299 0.3)61.63% (-0.297 -0.3)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.47% (0.209 0.21)19.53% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.58% (0.341 0.34)51.42% (-0.341 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 31.23%
    Chesterfield 44.6%
    Draw 24.16%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.03%
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.23%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.041 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.47% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.44% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.32% (0.043 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.04% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.6%

How you voted: Dag & Red vs Chesterfield

Dagenham & Redbridge
28.6%
Draw
7.1%
Chesterfield
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Chesterfield
3-1
Dag & Red
Colclough (73'), Grigg (90+1' pen.), Banks (90+7')
Grimes (87')
Rees (39')
Tavares (4'), Vincent (52')
Phipps (69')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 43
Dag & Red
0-1
Chesterfield
Mandeville (71')
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Chesterfield
2-3
Dag & Red
Horton (55'), Williams (90+2')
Morias (4'), McCallum (17', 44')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
2-1
Dag & Red
Tshimanga (44' pen., 62' pen.)
Khan (30'), Tshimanga (33'), King (68')
Walker (35')
Walker (61'), Rance (65'), Jones (90')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Dag & Red
2-2
Chesterfield
Balanta (13'), Saunders (23')
Reynolds (64'), Vilhete (66'), (84')
(90')
Grimes (50'), Tshimanga (52')
Payne (26'), Grimes (34'), Kellerman (38'), Khan (76'), Whittle (90+3')
Grimes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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