Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 52.21%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 24.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Telford United would win this match.