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National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
AFC Fylde

Hereford
2 - 1
Fylde

Barnett (24' pen., 75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whitehead (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawFylde
37.08% (4.838 4.84) 26.95% (-0.523 -0.52) 35.97% (-4.315 -4.32)
Both teams to score 51.08% (2.229 2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (2.53 2.53)54.16% (-2.531 -2.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (2.075 2.08)75.57% (-2.075 -2.08)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (4.359 4.36)28.19% (-4.36 -4.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (5.198 5.2)63.89% (-5.197 -5.2)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-1.292 -1.29)28.86% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-1.636 -1.64)64.73% (1.636 1.64)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 37.08%
    Fylde 35.96%
    Draw 26.95%
Hereford UnitedDrawFylde
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.822 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.87 0.87)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.696 0.7)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.37 0.37)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.318 0.32)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.838 -0.84)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-1.45 -1.45)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.406 -0.41)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-1.167 -1.17)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.597 -0.6)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Fylde
2-1
Hereford
James-Taylor (10'), Osborne (90+6')
Owen-Evans (33')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hereford
1-4
Fylde
Storey (75')
Haughton (3', 44'), Piggott (47'), Dobbie (77')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Fylde
0-0
Hereford
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Hereford
2-1
Fylde
John-Lewis (37', 59')
Perkins (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe158522781929
2Chorley1585226151129
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn158341915427
4Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton138231910926
5SouthportSouthport167452427-325
6Hereford UnitedHereford156632115624
7Leamington FCLeamington146532012823
8Alfreton TownAlfreton136521811723
9Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster146442012822
10Buxton157172417722
11Chester FCChester146441715222
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor155552217520
13Brackley Town136251512320
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath135441816219
15South Shields156181722-519
16Darlington144641414018
17Warrington Town154561722-517
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic155281625-917
19Oxford CityOxford City143562028-814
20Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports144281119-814
21RadcliffeRadcliffe152581628-1211
22Needham Market1532101129-1811
23Marine AFC13247415-1110
24Rushall Olympic1431101426-1210
> National League North Full Table


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