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National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
AFC Fylde

Hereford
2 - 1
Fylde

Barnett (24' pen., 75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Whitehead (54')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Fylde
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawFylde
37.08% (4.838 4.84) 26.95% (-0.523 -0.52) 35.97% (-4.315 -4.32)
Both teams to score 51.08% (2.229 2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.83% (2.53 2.53)54.16% (-2.531 -2.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.42% (2.075 2.08)75.57% (-2.075 -2.08)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.8% (4.359 4.36)28.19% (-4.36 -4.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.11% (5.198 5.2)63.89% (-5.197 -5.2)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13% (-1.292 -1.29)28.86% (1.293 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.27% (-1.636 -1.64)64.73% (1.636 1.64)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 37.08%
    Fylde 35.96%
    Draw 26.95%
Hereford UnitedDrawFylde
1-0 @ 10.3% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.822 0.82)
2-0 @ 6.52% (0.87 0.87)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.696 0.7)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.37 0.37)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.318 0.32)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.14% (-0.838 -0.84)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.344 0.34)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.95%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-1.45 -1.45)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.406 -0.41)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-1.167 -1.17)
1-3 @ 3.3% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.597 -0.6)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.07 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Fylde
2-1
Hereford
James-Taylor (10'), Osborne (90+6')
Owen-Evans (33')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hereford
1-4
Fylde
Storey (75')
Haughton (3', 44'), Piggott (47'), Dobbie (77')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Fylde
0-0
Hereford
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Hereford
2-1
Fylde
John-Lewis (37', 59')
Perkins (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton21133530151542
2King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2312562820841
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster21124533161740
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe22108435152038
5Chorley2211563226638
6Hereford UnitedHereford22107531191237
7Alfreton TownAlfreton2110742720737
8Buxton2211293425935
9South Shields23112103935435
10Brackley Town2110472418634
11Darlington228952621533
12Chester FCChester219662622433
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor227963127430
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath227872525029
15Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports227782629-328
16SouthportSouthport227692533-827
17Leamington FCLeamington217592723426
18Oxford CityOxford City226793438-425
19Warrington Town235992129-824
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2263132239-1721
21Marine AFC2246121228-1618
22RadcliffeRadcliffe2146112441-1718
23Needham Market2245131435-2117
24Rushall Olympic2233161946-2712
> National League North Full Table


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