MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 01:13:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Chorley

Buxton
3 - 1
Chorley

De Girolamo (36' pen.), Shiels (56'), Hunt (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Buxton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Blyth Spartans
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawChorley
33.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.012 0.01)48.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.016000000000005 0.02)63.41% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.07%
Score Analysis
    Buxton 33.09%
    Chorley 41.43%
    Draw 25.47%
BuxtonDrawChorley
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chorley
3-2
Buxton
Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster26154741202149
2Chester FCChester27147640271349
3Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe27139545212448
4King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2714673527848
5Brackley Town26144835251046
6Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton24143732191345
7Chorley2512763528743
8Darlington2611963326742
9Hereford UnitedHereford2510873325838
10Buxton25122114034638
11Alfreton TownAlfreton2510783230237
12South Shields25113114037336
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor26811740301035
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports269893132-135
15Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath268993633333
16Leamington FCLeamington2595113331232
17SouthportSouthport258892834-632
18Oxford CityOxford City2577113642-628
19Warrington Town2759132237-1524
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2673162651-2524
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2357112842-1422
22Marine AFC2556141734-1721
23Rushall Olympic2763182657-3121
24Needham Market2547141840-2219


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!