Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 52.8%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | Inter Miami |
52.8% ( -0.11) | 22.66% ( 0.01) | 24.53% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.01% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.01% ( 0.04) | 40.98% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.62% ( 0.04) | 63.37% ( -0.04) |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.43% ( -0.03) | 15.57% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.47% ( -0.05) | 44.52% ( 0.04) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( 0.09) | 30.11% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( 0.12) | 66.25% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.69% Total : 52.8% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.66% | 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 62 | 40 | 22 | 59 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 51 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 49 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 39 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 38 |
7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 37 |
8 | Toronto | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 33 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 31 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 30 |
11 | DC United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 29 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 27 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 49 | -21 | 26 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 52 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 53 | 36 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 32 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 41 |
6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 40 |
8 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 37 | 32 | 5 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 34 |
11 | Dallas | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 33 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 27 |
13 | St Louis City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 27 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 27 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 34 | 63 | -29 | 17 |