MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Final
Dec 7, 2024 at 9pm UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
LA Galaxy2 - 1NY Red Bulls
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, December 1 at 3am in MLS Playoffs
Sunday, December 1 at 3am in MLS Playoffs
Goals
for
for
69
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, December 1 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs
Sunday, December 1 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs
Goals
for
for
55
We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1 New York Red Bulls
Even without Puig, the Galaxy will be heavy favourites for this clash, though we expect they will be left frustrated against a side with tremendous resolve who are more than comfortable hanging back. The Red Bulls are peaking at the right time, and their outstanding goalkeeping should keep them alive on Saturday, while they have been clinical when needed in the playoffs, which is why we project them to pull off what could go down as the biggest upset in the history of the MLS Cup finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
53.86% ( -0.85) | 21.99% ( 0.56) | 24.15% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( -1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
