MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:16:51| >> :60:310:310:
LA Galaxy
MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Final
Dec 7, 2024 at 9pm UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
New York Red Bulls

LA Galaxy
2 - 1
NY Red Bulls

Paintsil (9'), Joveljic (13')
Delgado (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nealis (28')
Eile (35'), Eile (38'), Harper (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, December 1 at 3am in MLS Playoffs

New York Red Bulls

All competitions
MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 0-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, December 1 at 12.30am in MLS Playoffs

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1 New York Red Bulls

 Even without Puig, the Galaxy will be heavy favourites for this clash, though we expect they will be left frustrated against a side with tremendous resolve who are more than comfortable hanging back. The Red Bulls are peaking at the right time, and their outstanding goalkeeping should keep them alive on Saturday, while they have been clinical when needed in the playoffs, which is why we project them to pull off what could go down as the biggest upset in the history of the MLS Cup finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.15% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNew York Red Bulls
53.86% (-0.85 -0.85) 21.99% (0.563 0.56) 24.15% (0.292 0.29)
Both teams to score 60.96% (-1.686 -1.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.79% (-2.371 -2.37)38.21% (2.376 2.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.52% (-2.567 -2.57)60.49% (2.572 2.57)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.75% (-1.065 -1.07)14.25% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.99% (-2.123 -2.12)42.01% (2.128 2.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-1.067 -1.07)28.91% (1.073 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.22% (-1.348 -1.35)64.79% (1.353 1.35)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 53.86%
    New York Red Bulls 24.15%
    Draw 21.99%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.592 0.59)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.286 0.29)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.227 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.203 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.139 -0.14)
5-0 @ 0.96% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 53.86%
1-1 @ 9.96% (0.454 0.45)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.12% (0.451 0.45)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.102 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.11% (0.421 0.42)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.172 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 24.15%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs NY Red Bulls

Los Angeles Galaxy
69.2%
Draw
3.8%
New York Red Bulls
26.9%
26
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2021 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
LA Galaxy
3-2
NY Red Bulls
Hernandez (9')
Gutman (26'), Hernandez (41', 60'), Casseres Jr (63')
Grandsir (63'), Clark (87'), Alvarez (90+1'), Davis (90+6'), Yearwood (90+7')
> Preview
May 10, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 16
LA Galaxy
P-P
NY Red Bulls
May 4, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 11
NY Red Bulls
3-2
LA Galaxy
Tarek (15'), Rzatkowski (59'), Etienne (67')
Uriel (39'), Ibrahimovic (43')
Apr 29, 2018 3.30am
Gameweek 10
LA Galaxy
2-3
NY Red Bulls
Kamara (59'), Dos Santos (66')
dos Santos (61'), Cole (96')
Royer (7'), Valot (49'), Romero (84' pen.)
Meara (89')
May 14, 2017 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-3
LA Galaxy
Royer (93')
Alessandrini (8', 9'), Dos Santos (78' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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