Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 14.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.91%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
