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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Toulouse

Metz
0 - 1
Toulouse


Jean Jacques (18'), Boloni (19'), Sabaly (20'), N'Doram (37')
Herelle (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (12' pen.)
Dallinga (40'), Kamanzi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont (1-3 pen.)
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Metz 2-1 Toulouse

Metz have struggled massively in recent matches, but the return of goalscorer Chakvetadze could give them the boost required to earn a rare three points. Toulouse are without a number of their key players due to injuries and AFCON, meaning we cannot imagine Les Violets getting a result on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawToulouse
38.49% (0.261 0.26) 26.76% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 34.75% (-0.304 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (-0.211 -0.21)53.49% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (-0.178 -0.18)75.01% (0.18100000000001 0.18)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.048000000000002 0.05)27.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)62.44% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.29% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.361 -0.36)65.25% (0.363 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Metz 38.48%
    Toulouse 34.75%
    Draw 26.76%
MetzDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Metz vs Toulouse

Metz
36.8%
Draw
39.5%
Toulouse
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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