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Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 15, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Leeds logo

Burnley
0 - 4
Leeds


Westwood (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klich (44'), Harrison (60'), Rodrigo (77', 79')
Phillips (63')

Preview: Burnley vs. Leeds United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burnley and Leeds United will both be looking to string together successive victories when they face off at Turf Moor on Saturday lunchtime.

The Clarets beat Fulham 2-0 on Monday to confirm their Premier League safety, while Leeds saw off Tottenham Hotspur 3-1 last time out to move up to 10th.


Match preview

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured on May 10, 2021© Reuters

Not that it has been a serious worry for a number of weeks now, but Sean Dyche will be pleased that Burnley finally made certain of another campaign of a top-flight football.

Ashley Westwood and Chris Wood were on target in the final 10 minutes of the first half at Craven Cottage to condemn Fulham to relegation.

It is the first time in Premier League history that all three relegation spots have been decided with as many as three games of the season still to play.

That means the pressure is fully off Burnley heading into games with Leeds and Liverpool at Turf Moor, before concluding their campaign away at Sheffield United.

The aim for Dyche's 15th-placed side now will be to finish as high as possible, with 12th the best that they can realistically hope for.

Burnley have scored six times without conceding in their last two away games, having also thumped Wolverhampton Wanderers 4-0, but it has been a different story on their own patch.

Leeds United manager Marcelo Bielsa on May 8, 2021.© Reuters

The Clarets have won none of their last eight league matches at Turf Moor - their joint-longest winless home run in the English top flight - losing back-to-back games 2-1 there.

Leeds will be looking to extend their opponents' winless home run this weekend, though they lost 2-0 to Brighton & Hove Albion last time out on their travels.

That is the only real blemish for Marcelo Bielsa's men over the last two months, however, having won four and drawn three of their last eight matches.

What makes that all the more impressive is that the Whites have faced Chelsea, Manchester City, Liverpool, Manchester United and Tottenham during that run.

Stuart Dallas, Patrick Bamford and Rodrigo all netted in the win over Spurs last weekend - a victory that moved United into the top half, where they will now be aiming to stay.

Leeds won this season's reverse fixture 1-0 at Elland Road and are looking to complete their first league double over Burnley since the 2011-12 Championship campaign.

Burnley Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Leeds United Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W


Team News

Patrick Bamford celebrates scoring for Leeds United against Burnley in the Premier League on December 27, 2020© Reuters

Leeds have been boosted by the return to fitness of captain Liam Cooper, while Raphinha and Kalvin Phillips returned from injury as substitutes in the win against Tottenham.

Cooper has not been used since being sent off against Man City more than a month ago, and it is likely that Bielsa will go with Pascal Struijk alongside Diego Llorente here.

Adam Forshaw, Joe Gelhardt and Helder Costa all remain sidelined for the visitors, with the latter being ruled out until pre-season.

Bamford netted a pen in December's win at Elland Road and could become the first Whites player to score home and away against Burnley in a season since Peter Lorimer in 1974-75.

Burnley only have a couple of injury issues to contend with as Kevin Long and Robbie Brady remain sidelined for this clash.

Dyche may look to rotate his side slightly with safety now guaranteed, which could see the likes of Ashley Barnes, James Rodriguez and Johann Berg Gudmundsson recalled.

Former Leeds striker Wood seems certain to retain his place up top, meanwhile, as he looks to build on a return of eight goals in his last eight matches.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Brownhill, Cork, Westwood, McNeil; Wood, Vydra

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Ayling, Llorente, Struijk, Alioski; Raphinha, Dallas, Phillips, Roberts, Harrison; Bamford


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 0-2 Leeds United

Burnley have gone eight league games without a win at Turf Moor, while Leeds have won four of their last eight on their travels.

United have also won their last three top-flight meetings against the Clarets, a run in which we can see them extending this weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



ID:447242:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10750:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Burnley vs Leeds

Burnley
23.5%
Draw
11.8%
Leeds United
64.7%
187
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Newcastle United's Callum Wilson celebrates scoring their third goal on May 7, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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