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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
34.17% (![]() | 25.88% (![]() | 39.95% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.12% (![]() | 49.88% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.12% (![]() | 71.87% (![]() |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.11% (![]() | 27.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% (![]() | 63.51% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.39% (![]() | 24.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.89% (![]() | 59.11% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 8.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.85% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.6% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.34% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.17% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.62% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.61% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.57% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.81% Total : 39.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
2 | Notts County | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Newport CountyNewport | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Chesterfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
10 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Port Vale | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
14 | MK Dons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
19 | Salford City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 |
24 | Morecambe | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> League Two Full Table |